2021 Free Agency and Trade Discussion (Latest: C.Davis to Jets)

2021 Free Agency and Trade Discussion( Latest: C.Davis to Jet-blacks) Aaron Schatz 14 Mar 2021, 01:35 pm

Kenny Golladay

This is our annual open thread to discuss all the free agent movement, sells, slasheds, and other story for the first few days of free enterprise, commencing with the “legal tampering period” that begins at noon Eastern on March 15.


Green Bay re-signs RB Aaron Jones for 4 years, $48 million with $13 million signing bonus.

Houston markets LB Benardrick McKinney to Miami for ER Shaq Lawson.

New England crafts OT Marcus Cannon to Houston for select barters in three different rounds of the 2021 draft.


Baltimore clues G Kevin Zeitler for 3 years, $22.5 million.

San Francisco re-signs FB Kyle Juszczyk for 5 years, $27 million.


Arizona re-signs ER Markus Golden for two years,$ 9 million.

Detroit re-signs ER Romeo Okwara for three years, $39 million.

New England indicates TE Jonnu Smith for four years, $50 million with $31.25 million fully guaranteed.

Tampa Bay re-signs ER Shaq Barrett for four years, $72 million with $36 million fully guaranteed.


Jacksonville clues DT Roy Robertson-Harris for three years, $24.4 million with $14 million in guarantees.

New England mansions ER Matt Judon for four years, $56 million with $32 million guaranteed.

New England indicates FS/ CB Jalen Mills for four years, $24 million with$ 9 million guaranteed.

New England clues DT Davon Godchaux for two years, $16 million.

San Francisco re-signs CB Jason Verrett for one year, $5.5 million plus incentives.


Cleveland ratifies FS John Johnson for three years, $33.75 million with $24 million guaranteed.

Kansas City signalings G Joe Thuney for five years, $80 million with the first two years guaranteed at $32.5 million and Year 3 converting to a guarantee if Thuney is not trimmed before the second year.

Los Angeles Chargers clue C Corey Linsley for five years, $62.5 million.

New York Flow signaling LB Jarrad Davis for one year,$ 7 million.

San Francisco clues ER Samson Ebukam for two years, $12 million plus incentives.


Las Vegas signeds ER Yannick Ngakoue for two years, $26 million.

New England, going crazy today, mansions WR Nelson Agholor for two years, $26 million.


Denver signs CB Ronald Darby for three years, $30 million with $19.5 million guaranteed.

Jacksonville indicates RB Carlos Hyde for two years,$ 6 million.

Jacksonville signalings FS Rayshawn Jenkins.

Los Angeles Chargers mansion G/ T Matt Feiler for three years, $21 million.

Los Angeles Rams re-sign ER Leonard Floyd for four years, $64 million.

New England signalings WR Kendrick Bourne for three years, $22.5 million.

New England signs DT Henry Anderson.

New Orleans re-signs QB Jameis Winston for one year, $12 million.

New York Plane clue ER Carl Lawson for three years, $45 million with $30 million guaranteed.

New York Airplane indicate WR Corey Davis for three years, $37.5 million with $27 million guaranteed.

Tampa Bay re-signs TE Rob Gronkowski for 1 year, $10 million.

Tennessee signeds DL Denico Autry for three years, $21.5 million with$ 9 million guaranteed.

Tennessee signs ER Bud Dupree.


Texans Benardrick McKinney for Dolphins Shaq Lawson

and late round picking swaps.

Thought Shaq Lawson was worth more than that.


This one makes at least a …

In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

This one makes at least a bit of appreciation, with Houston altering strategies and Miami needing a tackle-eating off-ball LB. The one I don’t get is the Marcus Cannon trade. That’s something you do when you’re a duo articles away from a Super Bowl run. The Texans are…not that.


I have event springing …

In reply to by TomC

I have knowledge rooting for a squad that was recently( like the Texans are doing now) on the Faux Patriots team-building approach. Now are the steps 😛 TAGEND

Step 1: Alienate your best players.

Step 2: Trade for, or sign ex-Patriots musicians. Made to ensure that you overpay for them in free authority, or that their best times are behind them.

Step 3: ????

Step 4: Super Bowl


Feel like they should’ve really affixed with KVN

In reply to by TomC

But I guess he’s more edge.

Just learnt the Cannon trade. Doesnt make sense. For Houston, do they not know they’re bad( and about to get worse )?



In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

McKinney is a pretty good LB if health. Age wise and health wise, Houston probably got the better end of the agreement. I guess this signals Miami won’t take a LB with that second first round select. With their cheap pick up of a T more, Miami’s draft picks are really up in the air.


Yeah perhaps

In reply to by johonny

Guess last year was just a vocation low-spirited 58.2 pff position. Might simply be an outlier. Depends on the collect exchange I guess, as their salaries are essentially laundries extremely.



GB establishes a RB big money. Jones 4/48 m


It’s a Dallas-type move and baffling .

In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

A notoriously stingy right overpays for a RB in an era where RB’s are fungible. I don’t understand it given the team’s needs elsewhere.

Another WR, defensive help or O-line help?

This move came out of nowhere and I can’t help but harken back to those GB moans that JJ Watt was out of their expenditure compas. Well, that doesn’t induce much smell with this signing, does it?


We discussed this previously, I was waiting for your action

In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

You gave fairly o’s in Nooo…

The Packers put in one 0 and three years too many in the contract. Should have told him, “Thank you for your excellent work in GB” and make the comp pick.

The contract culminated up almost exactly in the middle of my $40 M and your $58 M. My $40 M was mode nature too much to begin with.

So that the plans to 2 Wins over Replacement that the Packers only bought over 4 years. I wonder how many losses they just picked up over 4 years by not spending that money elsewhere.

I rolled 5 crews previously as the smartest/ best over the past two decades( in no particular order, but these clearly are the best 5 in my opinion ):

Patriots: 2018 application( waste) 1st round pick for Sony Michel

Ravens: 2020 employ( litter) 2nd round pick J. K. Dobbins

Saints: 2020 signal( consume) $75 M on Alvin Kamara for 5 years with an flee street after 4 years

Packers: 2021 ratify( debris) $48 M for 4 years on Aaron Jones although the ceiling hit in 2021 is only $ 5.25 M. This is still too high for me, but there is still hope for the 2021 Packers.

Steelers: At least they have ignored the RB position, Connor at a meager $700,000+

As for the Foreman mini-run

Chiefs: 2020 call( trash) 1st round picking for Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Analytics refuses to hitherto win out in football, we still have many of the best of the best focusing on the RB position.


$58 was Spotracs

In reply to by jheidelberg

I let them do the ponderous lifting as they seem to put in good market value analysis. What we are really get depends so much better on how much theyre asking for.

We came year 1 cap hit on the Jones deal previously? Couldn’t find any earlier. 5.25 m know it sounds freedom either way.

With 32 crews, there will ALWAYS be one team. After 3 crews drafted a RB in the 1st( top 31 to be precise) in 2018, the conference seemed to have caught on to not drafting them that high, at least a little. Always one team that splurges and later bitterness it( Raiders 19, Chiefs 20, probably Dolphins/ Airplane/ Jags 21 ). That’s all it makes. Good for them though. Their semblances of value is massively most impressive than any other skill they have. And I means that as a flattery! So much sign more they always get their prey to fall victim. Good on em. Couldn’t be me though.


Jones update/ ALWAYS one unit/ Guises of value

In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

I should have speak more carefully, it is a possible contract organize. Here is the theoretical Jones contract 😛 TAGEND

https :// www.acmepackingcompany.com/ 2021/3/ 15/22331610/ what-aaron-jones-new-contract-with-the-packers-might-look-like

Their guises of value is massively more impressive than any other skill they have. GREAT LINE !!!! What a great skill to have !!!

There is a sucker born every minute, I can not believe that some of them grow up to be NFL GM’s this kind of money to a RB or drafting a RB in round 1 or 2.

Analytics MUST win eventually. There IS ALWAYS one squad. True, but why? There WILL NOT ALWAYS be one team. This is not able to last-place forever.

There are no squads left in the NBA that do not understand about the value of shooting 3’s or shooting in the cover. There are no crews left in baseball that do not use the shift.

We should all live to see the day when the following come 😛 TAGEND

1. RB’s are dropped after their rookie spate or get little more than their rookie deal.

2 .. RB’s are not drawn up in rounds 1 or 2.

3 A punt on 4th and 1 or 4th and 2 in the fourth quarter when trailing does not happen( Tennessee actually punted in a playoff game this year on 4th and 2 and never got the ball back)

4. A unit ever get for two in the fourth quarter when valuing a TD cutting the 14 moment lead to 8P TAGEND

5. No one kicks a FG up 3 on 4th and short-lived with approximately two minutes to stay in the game.

Bill James wrote about baseball analytics in the early 70 ‘s. Forty plus years later, his analytical writings became common practice on the field.

FO started in 2003. Maybe by 2043 NFL coaches and GM’s will all understand basic analytic rules. By the time some simple analytic patterns are always utilized, we should have another 40 analytic traditions to implement.


There will always be outliers

In reply to by jheidelberg

Someone ever will want to be different and think they can make it work. They’ll do it in more slight lanes. NBA players still make mid assortment shots. It’s time the elite chaps now. Regrettably NFL RBs are just limited by the rules and there has yet to be a genuine play changer. They think they’re guy is different and they can manipulate stats to look like it but the basic premise is still there.

Oh well. Units will learn the hard way. And then “ve forgotten” it 10 minutes later.


Packers re-sign Aaron Jones …

Packers re-sign Aaron Jones. 4 years, 48 mil but merely 13 mil guaranteed.

Interested to see how they’re build the detonator seat for this, I thought he was a goner. Either they’re kicking the can down the road with the contract organization, they’ve previously got a commitment for an extension with Davante Adams, or a significant restructure of Rodgers’ contract.


Tom Silverstein believes the …

In reply to by ChrisLong

Tom Silverstein suspects the significant restructuring will come on Za’darius Smith’s contract. Said on Twitter he thinks it will happen in the next day or so.

If they can widen Davante too( a total no-brainer) that can give them some cash play games with in FA but otherwise they’re probably limited to their draft picks and in-house development.


Didn’t see that at first . …

In reply to by ChrisLong

Didn’t see that at first. 13 mil guaranteed seems a little better. However, the best case scenario is that he continues to be good….but then the Packers are still squandering a ton of cap space on a running back.


The 13 m is only the signing bonus

In reply to by ChrisLong

Don’t know of anymore guaranteed money.


The only other guaranteed …

In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

The only other guaranteed money would be base salary/ bonuses this year. Which I’m sure they’re looking to minimize given the cap situation


Which would still propagandize it over 13 m

In reply to by ChrisLong

When the franchise tag was 8.655 m. Idk how Jones will age


If they franchise call him …

In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

If they franchise label him they take that full touch to the cap this year. Don’t think that’s worth it in their seeings. This path, the guaranteed money is spread across four years. His cap touched this year is likely to be lower than the dealership tag


Of course .

In reply to by ChrisLong

The signing bonus is spread out 3.25 m every year building it harder to move on each year when we know RB lifespans aren’t long. Currency overflow will be over 13 m regardless of when they move on as this year is essentially guaranteed. May save a few cases bucks this year at the cost of future space at the least valuable( offensive) plight. This was the chance to save money instead of virtually relying on the draft to replenish CB2, etc.


If they’re going to pay …

In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

If they’re going to pay Jones, I’d rather they did it this method than reiterated right calls. Limited cap thumps in the present and presuming the detonator gets back to normal in future then the cost is fairly tolerable. It’s a more team-friendly contract then any of the stars RBs so far.

But to be honest I’m surprised they signed him at all. Thought they’d move on from him. It was probably the smarter move. I suspect given the limited skill talent outside of Adams they were reluctant to let a superstar musician get away.


No one said anything about recurred tags .

In reply to by ChrisLong

That’d be asinine. But it’s not as “good”( they’re all bad) as the younger Joe Mixons. Cap going up again doesn’t matter too much since it typically goes up( aka didn’t stop the Rams from chipping Gurley, etc ).

There’s such a wide gap between Adams value Jones due to position skills and abilities. But hey , not that anyone was telling them to draft a WR or anything last year. Dont know if that’s a good reason to lock into a RB. I repute if your QB is on a rookie contract like Burrow( still not really though ). Which I guess the Packers have…but they likewise have Rodgers. Oof. I guess it’s not CMC money? Hooray?


Mixon’s was slightly better …

In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

Mixon’s was slightly more team friendly but he’s also not as good as Jones. Overall, I don’t hate it. Teams open more than $ 13 million to way way worse musicians than Aaron Jones. Blake Martinez got $19 mil guaranteed just last year, for crying out loud. Not saying WR is the same value, I’m saying they looked at the roster, realise if they lost Jones they’d have a single established talent musician importance hanging a hat on, and decided to pay a rational amount to keep him.

I think this plus the other restructures signals that they are going all-in on 2021. They’ll extend Adams, restructure Smith, and end up with a little cap space to sign draft picks and perhaps a ex-serviceman corner. I think they’re trying to avoid restructuring Rodgers because of the signal that would send about Jordan Love’s future.


LB is more valuable than RB

In reply to by ChrisLong

And Blake came

Read more: footballoutsiders.com